The process of Risk and Opportunity Analysis (ROA)
To develop adequate adaptational means AdapCC started the second project phase with the implementation of "Risk
and Opportunity Analysis (ROA)" in a participatory manner with four pilot producer organisations in Peru, Nicaragua,
Mexico and Kenya between February and November 2008.
As basic toolkit to define priority adaptation measures, the analysis allows us to identify physical and social
vulnerabilities that can turn into a disaster in case an extreme weather event occurs or the regional climate
changes. The methodology supports us to evaluate probable damages and losses as a consequence of an impact of these
catastrophes on vulnerable smallholder production systems, and to analyse possible benefits and disadvantages of the
adaptation measures. Moreover the ROA process is to get better knowledge of the causing factors which influence the
increasing risks of the pilot groups and communities. Based on these information one can define concrete measures to
reduce existing vulnerabilities and negative effects. To realize the ROA process it is necessary to facilitate
participative mechanisms to enable the population to make decisions during the consolidation of the process.
The expected outputs of the ROA process are the following:
- Detailed information about the impacts of climate change on coffee and tea production in the focus regions
(risks, damages, vulnerability of smallholders)
- Identified countermeasures to reduce the climate risks of the producers (adaptation measures)
- Adaptation strategies for the pilot groups including technical project designs and operational plans to
implement concrete measures
- Options to guarantee financing of the implementation of the adaptation strategies
- Regional network of institutions and producers to exchange and transmit the experiences and the results
of the pilot projects
The following methods can be used for gathering information about hazard and vulnerability:
- Participatory methods: workshops, field visits, interviews/ discussions with stakeholders
- Others: expert interviews, analysis of literature and available data
- Technical methods: research, examination of existing data (e.g. with the International Centre of Tropical Agriculture
– CIAT)
For further information about the ROA results of each of the pilot producer groups please have a look at the particular
systematisations (only in Spanish).
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